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Friday, September 20, 2024

Mapping Ukraine’s Shock Invasion of Russia


After two and a half years of combating a struggle on their very own soil, Ukrainian forces are persevering with to advance inside Russia, as their shock invasion of the Kursk area enters its third week.

Starting early on Aug. 6, Ukraine rapidly broke by means of thinly manned border defenses and has now captured dozens of Russian cities and villages, including a brand new twist to a struggle that had largely settled into grueling, block-by-block combating in cities in japanese Ukraine.

Supply: Institute for the Research of Struggle with American Enterprise Institute’s Crucial Threats Undertaking

Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk led to one of many largest territorial modifications for the reason that first month of the struggle, when Russia quickly superior towards main Ukrainian cities. The top of Ukraine’s armed forces, Gen. Oleksandr Syrsky, has claimed that Ukraine is in charge of about 490 sq. miles of Russian territory.

If confirmed, that will symbolize roughly the identical quantity of land that Russian forces seized in Ukraine from January by means of July of this yr, in response to the Institute for the Research of Struggle, a Washington-based suppose tank.

President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine has stated that the purpose is to create a “buffer zone” inside Russia alongside the border. He has given no specifics concerning the dimension of the realm his army is aiming to grab.

This week, Ukraine struck bridges throughout the Seym River, a transfer that army analysts say may lure Russian troops between the river and the border with Ukraine.

Supply: Institute for the Research of Struggle with American Enterprise Institute’s Crucial Threats Undertaking (claimed extent of Ukrainian advance)

At the very least three bridges have been broken, which The Occasions was capable of independently confirm by means of satellite tv for pc imagery and movies posted to social media.

It’s unclear what number of Russian troops are within the space, however satellite tv for pc imagery from Planet Labs, a business satellite tv for pc firm, exhibits that Russia has constructed momentary pontoon bridges to permit its autos to proceed to cross the river. One may very well be seen east of the city of Glushkovo on Aug. 17, with automobile tracks seen close by. One other was seen additional alongside the river, simply north of Glushkovo, on Aug. 21.

On Wednesday, Ukraine launched movies of its forces putting these Russian pontoon bridges in Kursk with U.S.-supplied weapons.

Though Ukraine’s advances have slowed for the reason that first days of its incursion, it continues to push ahead, in response to imagery verified by the Institute for the Research of Struggle.

Satellite tv for pc imagery from Planet Labs exhibits that Russia has constructed new defensive fortifications round 20 miles from Ukrainian positions in Kursk, close to the E38 freeway. The fortifications embrace trenches for troops to fireside from, and anti-tank ditches, such because the one proven under.

Whereas the Ukrainian army is gaining floor in Russia, it’s shedding it again dwelling. The Russian offensive in japanese Ukraine is constructing momentum.

Russian troops are lower than 10 miles from Pokrovsk, placing them in artillery vary of the town, which had a inhabitants of about 40,000 earlier than the struggle started and is a key transport hub. To the northeast, Russian troops are on the doorstep of Toretsk, and management most of Niu-York, footage verified by the Institute for the Research of Struggle exhibits.

Army analysts say that one in all Ukraine’s probably targets in invading Kursk was to pressure Russia to divert troops away from japanese Ukraine to combat in Kursk, however thus far the Kremlin has resisted. As an alternative, it has introduced in reinforcements primarily from elsewhere in Russia, prioritizing its army targets in Ukraine over a fast response to the overseas incursion.

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